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Squawka / News / Ajax vs Atalanta predictions and betting tips: Atalanta fancied to make their class tell

Ajax vs Atalanta predictions and betting tips: Atalanta fancied to make their class tell

Thu 22 October, 20:00 Amsterdam ArenA
20:00
2 - 0
T. Arokodare   87' A. Ouazane   90 + 3'
  1. Full Time
  2. 90 + 3'
  3. 90 + 2'
  4. 90 + 1'
  5. 87'
  6. 86'
  7. 80'
    J. Rowe on for E. Elmas
  8. 80'
  9. 72'
  10. 68'
  11. 66'
  12. 62'
  13. 62'
  14. 62'
  15. Half Time
  16. 45'
  17. Kick Off
Momentum
Top Stats
60.6% Possession 39.4%
2 Goals 0
21 Shots 16
7 Shots On Target 1
8 Corners Won 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
1.55 xG 1.07
Shooting
2 Goals 0
21 Total Shots 16
7 Shots On Target 1
Defending
0 Goals Conceded 2
1 Clean sheets 0
Passing
656 Total Passes 422
604 Accurate Passes 373
Possession
60.6% Possession 39.4%
8 Corners 9
Discipline
2 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
8 Fouls 8

League Standings table is not available yet.

Data provided by

Ajax vs Atalanta predictions for this evening’s 8pm (UK time) kick-off in Amsterdam back Atalanta, 3-1 winners over Pafos in their Conference League opener, against an Ajax side that lost 2-1 at Hajduk Split.

The two clubs could hardly have begun the league phase more differently. Atalanta opened with a 3-1 home win over Pafos to sit fourth, while Ajax were beaten 2-1 away at Hajduk Split and prop up the lower reaches in 25th.

That gulf frames an evening at the Johan Cruijff ArenA where the hosts must chase the game. We expect goals at both ends, plenty of set-pieces, and the visitors’ sharper edge to settle matters in Amsterdam.

Premium Tips

Anthony Eadson has gone through the card and lands on two angles: the total corners line and a match-result-and-both-teams-to-score double.

Premium TipOddsWhy we’re backing it
Over 8.5 total corners8/11 (Betfred)The corner flags should be busy at the Johan Cruijff ArenA. Atalanta arrive fourth in the league-phase table after a 3-1 home win over Pafos, a result built on relentless pressure and width. Ajax, beaten 2-1 away at Hajduk Split on matchday one, will have to chase this from 25th, and sides trailing tend to pile in crosses and force corners of their own. With both teams needing goals and the grid pointing to an open, over-2.5 affair, nine or more deliveries from the corner quadrant looks a sensible line, so we are happy to take Over 8.5 here.
Atalanta to win and both teams to score9/2 (bet365)Atalanta’s opening 3-1 win over Pafos underlined the gulf in class, yet they still conceded once, and that pattern suits this selection. Ajax did at least find the net in their 2-1 defeat at Hajduk Split, so the Dutch side should trouble a defence that is not watertight. Sitting fourth against opponents down in 25th, the visitors have the firepower to win in Amsterdam while both teams score, which is exactly how our 1-2 scoreline reads. At almost 5/1, backing Atalanta with both teams on the scoresheet offers a generous route into the likely result.

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How Ajax go into the game

Ajax arrive in 25th place with no points on the board after their opening league-phase game went wrong. A 2-1 defeat away at Hajduk Split left them with a goal difference of minus one and plenty to prove on home soil.

The Dutch side did at least find the net on the road, so this is not an attack short of ideas. A back line that shipped two in Croatia, however, must tighten up quickly against a sharper visiting front line.

How Atalanta go into the game

Fourth in the standings and sitting pretty on three points, Atalanta could not have asked for a smoother start. Their 3-1 home win over Pafos brought three goals and a positive goal difference from the opening round.

Travelling to Amsterdam, the Italians will fancy their chances of backing that up. They conceded once against Pafos, so they are not airtight, but their attacking quality looks a cut above most of this league phase.

Ajax vs Atalanta: form guide and current league standing

Ajax vs Atalanta head-to-head

DateHomeScoreAway
09/12/20Ajax0-1Atalanta
27/10/20Atalanta2-2Ajax

Recent history between these clubs is thin, limited to two Champions League group games in 2020/21. Atalanta edged the Amsterdam meeting 1-0 and held on for a 2-2 draw in Bergamo, so Ajax are still waiting on a first win over the Italians.

Ajax vs Atalanta predictions & betting tips

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Atalanta to win11/5 (bet365)⭐⭐⭐⭐Atalanta’s goal difference already sits at plus-two to Ajax’s minus-one, and the visitors’ edge in class should show in a narrow away win.
Both teams to score – Yes8/15 (William Hill)⭐⭐⭐⭐Both openers featured goals at each end: Atalanta conceded to Pafos and Ajax scored at Hajduk Split despite losing.
Over 2.5 goals8/13 (William Hill)⭐⭐⭐Four goals flew in during Atalanta’s 3-1 win and three in Ajax’s 2-1 loss, so the taps were flowing for both on matchday one.
Ajax 1-2 Atalanta11/1 (bet365)⭐⭐A one-goal away win fits the table, with Ajax likely to score at the ArenA but Atalanta carrying the greater threat.

Ajax vs Atalanta score prediction

Everything points towards an away win here. Atalanta’s quality and goal threat should carry them through, though Ajax ought to register in front of their own fans. We settle on a 1-2 success for the visitors. Score prediction: Ajax 1-2 Atalanta.

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